Saturday, June 28, 2025

The 1964 Transformation of the Democratic Party

 

Picture from LBJ Presidential Library

I post this writing as a citizen expressing my own personal views which are not to be construed nor inferred  as representing any organization or ministry of which I may be involved.

Being the ever-diligent student of history and political realignments as I am, I cannot refrain from commenting on a recent meme I have seen on Facebook.

The meme reads something like “It was Democrats that fought against abolition and Republicans that freed the slaves.”

This is one of the many circumstances in which the words are technically correct while the lack of proper context is (probably intentionally) misleading.

For those that may be old enough to remember, lived through, personally observed the height of the Civil Rights era, we know what a political tectonic shift occurred the moment Lydon Johnson signed into law the Civil Rights Act of 1964.

It was reported, though I cannot find any credible evidence of the statement, that Johnson said “We have lost the South”. I believe that to be true whether Johnson said it or not.

The South, former Confederate states, upon LBJ’s signature on the Civil Rights legislation, immediately disengaged from the Democratic Party.

In short, the Democratic Party of the last sixty years is substantially different in policy than it had previously been before the Civil Rights Act.

Unlike meme posting influencers and manipulators of political emotion, I provide a deliberative and objective study on the matter by Ilyana Kuziemko  (Princeton) and Ebonya Washington (Columbia).

Their conclusion of the study states…

“The exodus of Southern whites from the Democratic Party is one of the most transformative, and controversial, political developments in twentieth-century American history. Using newly available data, we conclude that defection among racially conservative whites just after Democrats introduce sweeping Civil Rights legislation explains virtually all of the party’s losses in the region. We find essentially no role for either income growth in the region or (non-race-related) policy preferences in explaining why Democrats “lost” the South.”

Again, the Democratic Party of the last sixty years is substantially different from

the residual party of the Confederacy which existed before 1964.

For those of you who may care enough, I provide the link to the complete study by Kuziemko and Washington here:

https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.20161413


Why Did the Democrats Lose the South? Bringing New Data to an Old Debate - American Economic Association